IPL 2025 Mumbai Indians Struggling – Playoffs a Dream?

Mumbai Indians (MI), one of the most successful teams in Indian Premier League (IPL) history, have claimed five championship titles. Can they secure a sixth title in the 2025 IPL season?

MI Paltan, listen up! Here's an analysis and prediction of their winning chances, based on the squad lineup and the team’s current form.

About मुंबई इंडियंस

In 2024, the Mumbai Indians hit a historic low, winning just 4 of their 14 games and finishing at the bottom of the table. The disappointing outcome prompted MI management to make significant changes at the 2025 auction.

However, the start of the 2025 IPL season hasn’t been as strong as expected. MI has continued to lose more matches than they’ve won. Their chances of making it to the playoffs this year are estimated to be only around 20%!

Mumbai Indians Players 2025

For the 2025 season, 2025 Mumbai Indians retained key players including Jasprit Bumrah (₹18 crore), Suryakumar Yadav (₹16.35 crore), Hardik Pandya (₹16.35 crore), Rohit Sharma (₹16.3 crore), and Tilak Varma (₹8 crore), spending a total of ₹75 crore.

While holding on to their championship core, MI used the remaining ₹45 crore to strengthen their bowling weaknesses and invest in young potential talent.

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Jasprit Bumrah

Jasprit Bumrah, MI’s ace bowler, made his long-awaited comeback in the 2025 season opener against RCB after a 93-day injury break. He stood out with an economy rate of 7.25, better than the team’s second-best bowler who had an economy rate of 10.

Stepping in during the 18th over to replace Hardik Pandya—who had conceded 24 runs—Bumrah gave away just 6 runs, effectively shutting down Rajat Patidar and Jitesh Sharma.

If he can stay healthy and have his workload managed wisely, there's no doubt he remains MI’s strongest defensive asset. His performance will be a decisive factor in determining whether MI can reach the playoffs.

Rohit Sharma

Rohit Sharma’s current form is quite concerning. In the first four matches of the 2025 season, he scored just 0, 8, 13, and 17, often getting dismissed early and putting pressure on the middle order.

As MI’s emotional and spiritual leader, his opening performance is crucial for the team’s morale. If he can’t pull himself together soon, MI may need to seriously consider giving other players the opportunity to step up.

Hardik Pandya

Hardik Pandya, an exceptional all-rounder, reached a historic milestone in the 2025 season—scoring 5000 runs and taking 200 wickets.

However, as Mumbai Indians’ 2025 captain, the team’s string of losses has made his efforts feel in vain. This highlights a core truth of cricket as a team sport: no matter how outstanding an individual’s performance may be, it's tough to win if the entire squad doesn't click.

Suryakumar Yadav

As the MI’s middle order and the captain of India’s T20 national team, Suryakumar Yadav carries high expectations and is currently MI’s best-performing batter.

Despite maintaining a strike rate of 150.75 across five matches and scoring a half-century, his lack of consistency has made it difficult for MI to chase under pressure. With fans holding him to a high standard, any dip in form becomes even more disappointing.

Tilak Varma

A young left-handed batter hailed as a future star, Tilak Varma showed his potential with a brilliant 56 off 29 balls against RCB in the fifth match.

While his overall performance has been a bit up and down—such as 25 off 23 balls against LSG—both the coach and captain have expressed confidence in him, believing he can play a stabilizing role in the team.

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2025 MI Performance Analysis

Mumbai Indians are currently facing several issues—an unstable top order, lack of acceleration in the middle overs, pressure on young players, and frequent failures in bowling.

Batting

Besides underwhelming performances from key players, others like Will Jacks, Ryan Rickelton, and Naman Dhir have also fallen short of expectations in both the opening and middle phases of the innings.

MI’s top order has been unstable from the start, often conceding too many wickets during the powerplay. With young players still developing, the team lacks reliable run-scoring options.

If core players like Rohit Sharma and Suryakumar Yadav can regain their form, they could lead the younger squad and unlock the batting lineup’s true potential.

Bowling

The early part of the 2025 season was especially tough for MI, with Jasprit Bumrah missing from the squad.

Trent Boult and Deepak Chahar have been off their mark this season, with economy rates of 9.38 and 10.66, respectively. Their inability to contain runs during the powerplay has put significant pressure on the rest of the bowling lineup.

New Zealand left-arm spinner Mitchell Santner was brought in to strengthen MI’s weak spin attack, but he too has disappointed, failing to control the tempo in the middle overs.

This is especially tough for them when facing teams that are strong against spin—like CSK and RCB—who have taken full advantage of this weakness.

Going forward, MI’s bowling success will depend on the pace duo of Jasprit Bumrah and Trent Boult, along with Deepak Chahar’s new-ball swing. This trio will be key in creating early breakthroughs and setting the tone during the powerplay.

If MI hopes to turn things around, they’ll need Bumrah and Boult firing on all cylinders, with Chahar’s new-ball swing providing backup. This trio will be key in creating early breakthroughs and setting the tone during the powerplay.

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As a loyal MI fan, even if the team isn’t performing as expected, you still want to see Sharma fighting it out on the field, right?

But if you’re thinking about betting on IPL matches involving MI... here’s a cheeky tip: bet on the opposing team! The numbers don’t lie—MI’s track record this season suggests their rivals are cashing in. With an 80% chance of winning, are you really gonna miss out? 🤣

MI IPL Match List 2025

Remember, if you want to earn some cash, bet against MI while there are still a few games left! Here’s the 2025 MI match schedule:

How MI Can Reach IPL 2025 Playoffs

According to IPL historical data, teams usually need at least 14 points (7 wins) to make it into the top four. Currently, MI holds a record of 1 win and 4 losses, with only 2 points and sitting at 8th place on the table. This means they’ll need to win at least 6 of their remaining 9 matches just to have a shot at the playoffs.

It’s not just about points—Net Run Rate (NRR) matters too. In the IPL league stage, if two or more teams finish with the same number of points, their NRR will decide the rankings. A higher NRR means a better position.

AI-evaluated probability of MI reaching the playoffs:

• Win-Based Probability: 11.3%
  Based on their current performance (1 win, 4 losses) and an assumed 40% chance of winning each remaining match.
• Market Odds Probability: 20–25%
  Reflects betting market confidence in MI’s potential comeback—factoring in home advantage, bowling strength, and past experience.
• If MI improves performance:
  If MI can win the next 2–3 matches in a row (e.g., home games against SRH and CSK), their playoff probability could rise to 30–35%.
• If their form continues to dip:
  If MI loses their next two matches (e.g., against DC and SRH), they’ll remain at 2 points, and their chances of reaching the top four could drop below 10%.。.

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MI’s Championship Odds & Betting:

As of now in IPL 2025, MI’s title odds range between 9.8 and 11.5, which means an average winning probability of around 8.6%. However, if MI makes it to the playoffs, their chances of winning the title could jump to 15–20%.

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