Cricket
09 Jun, 2025
Mumbai Indians (MI), one of the most successful teams in Indian Premier League (IPL) history, have claimed five championship titles. Can they secure a sixth title in the 2025 IPL season?
MI Paltan, listen up! Here's an analysis and prediction of their winning chances, based on the squad lineup and the team’s current form.
In 2024, the Mumbai Indians hit a historic low, winning just 4 of their 14 games and finishing at the bottom of the table. The disappointing outcome prompted MI management to make significant changes at the 2025 auction.
The 2025 IPL season didn’t start well for MI — they kept losing more than they won, and their playoff chances were down to just 20%. But in a complete turnaround, they rose from the bottom and now sit at second place on the points table!
Mumbai Indians have won the IPL championship a total of 5 times—in 2013, 2015, 2017, 2019, and 2020.
MI have finished at the bottom of the IPL table twice—in 2022 and again in 2024—winning only 4 out of 14 matches and ending each season with 8 points.
For the 2025 season, 2025 Mumbai Indians retained key players including Jasprit Bumrah (₹18 crore), Suryakumar Yadav (₹16.35 crore), Hardik Pandya (₹16.35 crore), Rohit Sharma (₹16.3 crore), and Tilak Varma (₹8 crore), spending a total of ₹75 crore.
While holding on to their championship core, MI used the remaining ₹45 crore to strengthen their bowling weaknesses and invest in young potential talent.
| Bowlers | All-rounders | Batters |
|---|---|---|
| Jasprit Bumrah | Hardik Pandya (C) | Rohit Sharma |
| Trent Boult | Naman Dhir | Suryakumar Yadav |
| Karn Sharma | Will Jacks | Robin Minz |
| Deepak Chahar | Mitchell Santner | Ryan Rickelton |
| Ashwani Kumar | Raj Angad Bawa | Shrijith Krishnan |
| Reece Topley | Vignesh Puthur | Bevon Jacobs |
| V. Satyanarayana Penmetsa | Corbin Bosch | N. Tilak Varma |
| Arjun Tendulkar | ||
| Mujeeb-ur-Rahman |
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Jasprit Bumrah, MI’s ace bowler, made his long-awaited comeback in the 2025 season opener against RCB after a 93-day injury break. He stood out with an economy rate of 7.25, better than the team’s second-best bowler who had an economy rate of 10.
Stepping in during the 18th over to replace Hardik Pandya—who had conceded 24 runs—Bumrah gave away just 6 runs, effectively shutting down Rajat Patidar and Jitesh Sharma.
If he can stay healthy and have his workload managed wisely, there's no doubt he remains MI’s strongest defensive asset. His performance will be a decisive factor in determining whether MI can reach the playoffs.
In the first four matches of the 2025 season, he scored just 0, 8, 13, and 17, often getting dismissed early and putting pressure on the middle order.
But recently he has settled down nicely. In the match against SRH on April 23, he scored a fine 70 off 46 balls, smashing 8 fours and 3 sixes, giving MI the solid start they were badly needing.
As MI’s emotional and spiritual leader, his opening performance is crucial for the team’s morale.
Hardik Pandya, an exceptional all-rounder, reached a historic milestone in the 2025 season—scoring 5000 runs and taking 200 wickets.
Although he led MI through a rough start with many losses, he gradually found his rhythm later in the season and developed a strong partnership with Rohit. The team atmosphere has improved, and things are starting to click.
As the MI’s middle order and the captain of India’s T20 national team, Suryakumar Yadav carries high expectations and is currently MI’s best-performing batter.
Despite maintaining a strike rate of 150.75 across five matches and scoring a half-century, his lack of consistency has made it difficult for MI to chase under pressure. With fans holding him to a high standard, any dip in form becomes even more disappointing.
Fortunately, he didn’t let the fans down later in the season. His explosive 54 off 28 balls against LSG on April 27 showed his power, and a quickfire 40* off 19 balls during the mid-season further highlighted his impact.
A young left-handed batter hailed as a future star, Tilak Varma showed his potential with a brilliant 56 off 29 balls against RCB in the fifth match.
While his overall performance has been a bit up and down—such as 25 off 23 balls against LSG—both the coach and captain have expressed confidence in him, believing he can play a stabilizing role in the team.
As MI’s former captain and a legendary figure, Rohit Sharma is undoubtedly one of the team’s greatest players.
His highest individual score in the IPL is 109 not out, achieved on May 12, 2012, while playing for Mumbai Indians against Kolkata Knight Riders.
In that match, he faced 60 balls, smashing 12 fours and 5 sixes, and led his team to a successful run chase. This remains his highest individual score in IPL history to date.
Hardik Pandya, Jasprit Bumrah, and Suryakumar Yadav are the key pillars of the team. Their performances will be crucial in determining Mumbai Indians' fate in the 2025 season.
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At the start of the season, Mumbai Indians were facing several issues—an unstable top order, lack of acceleration in the middle overs, pressure on young players, and frequent failures in bowling.
At the start of the season, besides underwhelming performances from key players, others like Will Jacks, Ryan Rickelton, and Naman Dhir also fell short of expectations in both the opening and middle phases of the innings.
MI’s top order has been unstable from the start, often conceding too many wickets during the powerplay. With young players still developing, the team lacks reliable run-scoring options.
However, as the season has progressed, MI has shown some solid attacking intent. With a top order consisting of Rohit, Suryakumar, Tilak, and Ryan Rickelton, they have managed to score at an impressive rate of 8.88 runs per over in the first 14 overs.
The high-scoring nature of their home ground, Wankhede Stadium (averaging 9.84 runs per over), further supports MI’s aggressive batting strategy.
The early part of the 2025 season was especially tough for MI, with Jasprit Bumrah missing from the squad.
Trent Boult and Deepak Chahar have been off their mark this season, with economy rates of 9.38 and 10.66, respectively. Their inability to contain runs during the powerplay has put significant pressure on the rest of the bowling lineup.
New Zealand left-arm spinner Mitchell Santner was brought in to strengthen MI’s weak spin attack, but he too has disappointed, failing to control the tempo in the middle overs.
However, after Jasprit Bumrah’s return, things started to turn around. He quickly found his rhythm and, along with Trent Boult, formed the core of the attack, focusing on picking early wickets and reducing the initial pressure.
Santner and Piyush Chawla worked together to slow down the scoring in the middle overs, proving particularly effective against teams with weaker spin play.
In the death overs, the combination of Bumrah’s yorkers and Hardik Pandya’s short balls helped restrict the opposition’s scoring.
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Jasprit Bumrah’s death-over bowling remains the core of MI’s strategy. His ability to deliver under pressure during the final overs—typically between the 17th and 20th overs—gives MI a significant edge in closing out games.
Among the new faces in IPL 2025, young talented Indian, Ashwani Kumar stands out. He made an impressive debut against KKR, taking 4 wickets—becoming the first Indian player to achieve this feat in his IPL debut.
Since Hardik Pandya took over the captaincy in 2024, the decision has remained controversial.
Some fans believe Rohit Sharma’s steady leadership was better suited for the team, especially considering his unbroken record of five IPL titles under pressure.
Supporters of Hardik argue that his decision-making is sound, but he simply needs more time to adapt and grow into the leadership role,
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As a loyal MI fan, even if the team isn’t performing as expected, you still want to see Sharma fighting it out on the field, right?
But if you’re thinking about betting on IPL matches involving MI... here’s a cheeky tip: bet on the opposing team! The numbers don’t lie—MI’s track record this season suggests their rivals are cashing in. With an 80% chance of winning, are you really gonna miss out? 🤣
Remember, if you want to earn some cash, bet against MI while there are still a few games left! Here’s the 2025 MI match schedule:
23 Mar
Opponent: CSK
Venue: M.A. Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
29 Mar
Opponent: GT
Venue: Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
31 Mar
Opponent: KKR
Venue: Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
4 Apr
Opponent: LSG
Venue: Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
7 Apr
Opponent: RCB
Venue: Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
13 Apr
Opponent: DC
Venue: Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
17 Apr
Opponent: SRH
Venue: Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
20 Apr
Opponent: CSK
Venue: Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
23 Apr
Opponent: SRH
Venue: Rajiv Gandhi Stadium, Hyderabad
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
27 Apr
Opponent: LSG
Venue: Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai
Match Time (IST): 3:30 PM
1 May
Opponent: RR
Venue: Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
6 May
Opponent: GT
Venue: Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
11 May
Opponent: PBKS
Venue: HPCA Stadium, Dharamsala
Match Time (IST): 3:30 PM
15 May
Opponent: DC
Venue: Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai
Match Time (IST): 7:30 PM
As of now, after 10 matches, Mumbai Indians have recorded 6 wins and 4 losses in the 2025 IPL season. They are ranked second on the points table with 12 points and a net run rate (NRR) of +0.889.
According to IPL historical data, teams usually need at least 14 points (7 wins) to make it into the top four.
It’s not just about points—Net Run Rate (NRR) matters too. In the IPL league stage, if two or more teams finish with the same number of points, their NRR will decide the rankings. A higher NRR means a better position.
MI Reach IPL 2025 Playoffs Probability: 80–85% (based on current points and form)
MI Market Odds Implied Probability: 86.96% – That’s what the bookies are saying!
If they win two more matches and reach 16 points, they are almost certain to secure a playoff spot. Even with just one more win to reach 14 points, they still have a strong chance of making it to the playoffs.
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As of now in IPL 2025, MI’s title odds range between 9.8 and 11.5, which means an average winning probability of around 8.6%. However, if MI makes it to the playoffs, their chances of winning the title could jump to 15–20%.
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Historically, Mumbai Indians have had the highest win rate against the Punjab Kings, with a record of approximately 60% as of 2024 (19 wins and 13 losses).
It’s been a rough ride for MI so far in IPL 2025—just 1 win from 5 games. To turn things around and keep their title dreams alive, they’ll need to go big and win 7 of the next 9.
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